Showing posts with label small business. Show all posts
Showing posts with label small business. Show all posts

Wednesday, December 28, 2011

Small Business Owners: "It's Lack of Demand, not Regulations!"

For one small-business "advocate", it has become an article of faith that “uncertainty” about new regulations and higher taxes is frustrating the ambitions of small-business owners. (Neither are true, or at least, not their #1 concern.)

A “massive federal regulatory nightmare,” is how the head of the National Federation of Independent Business, Dan Danner, puts it on the organization’s Web site, one that “stifles innovation, grinds small businesses down and prohibits job creation.”

And Republicans in the House have used these concerns to wage an aggressive campaign against federal regulations sanctioned by existing law as well as any proposal to raise taxes in order to reduce the deficit. But it turns out that these concerns are not shared by as many actual small-business owners as you might expect.

In a recent poll released by the Hartford Financial Group, when small-business owners were asked to name the single biggest barrier to success, only 9 percent cited government rules and regulations. Just 2 percent cited “too many taxes or uncertainty related to taxes.” The Washington Post reported recently that economists say regulation has little impact on job creation over all. Read the New York Times article: Do Small-Business Owners Feel Overtaxed and Over-regulated? A Survey Says No

In the face of the country’s unemployment crisis, many Republicans have portrayed regulations as the economy’s primary villain.

The Washington Post asks, "Does government regulation really kill jobs? Economists who have studied this question say the overall impact on employment is minimal.

But House Republicans have identified 10 “job-destroying regulations” they want to repeal, and a steady stream of bills have been proposed to block environmental rules governing everything from cement plants to boilers.

GOP candidate Mitt Romney has vowed that on his first day as president, he will “tear down the vast edifice of regulations the Obama administration has imposed on the economy.” The White House, meanwhile, says it is making a determined effort to assess how rules are affecting jobs.

But data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics show that very few layoffs are caused principally by tougher rules. Whenever a firm lays off workers, the bureau asked executives the biggest reason for the job cuts. In 2010, 0.3 percent of the people who lost their jobs in layoffs were let go because of “government regulations/intervention.” By comparison, 25 percent were laid off because of a drop in business demand.

In many cases retrofitting and monitoring plants to meet EPA environmental standards actually creates jobs. In reality, it's really cheaper labor overseas and automation that are the biggest job killers. That, which helped create high unemployment and/or low domestic wages, which reduced "demand". It's not high taxes or federal regulations that's hurting small businesses, never mind the massive corporations.

Large corporations have long complained that spending money following rules means there’s less left over to invest in research or expand their businesses. But recently it was reported by the New York Times that from a CEO's perspective, long-term research and development is a lousy investment. Research projects cost a lot of money and often fail. And even when they do work, some other company can come along and copy all the best ideas free.

A retired CEO of DuPont said it's tough to get investors to think more than two years ahead — at most. “The stock market pays you for what you can do now,” he said. As a result, DuPont isn’t the only American company changing the way it does R&D. Corporate research labs at IBM, AT&T, Xerox and others have also been slimmed way down or cut altogether.

The Republicans argue that getting rid of regulations will directly create jobs. President Obama has heard versions of this argument from powerful business lobbying groups and CEOs.

Economists who have studied the matter say that there is little evidence that regulations cause massive job loss in the economy, and that rolling them back would not lead to a boom in job creation. Firms sometimes hire workers to help them comply with new rules. In some cases, more heavily regulated businesses such as coal shrink, giving an opportunity for cleaner industries such as natural gas to grow.

“Based on the available literature, there’s not much evidence that EPA regulations are causing major job losses or major job gains,” said Richard Morgenstern, a senior fellow at the nonpartisan think tank Resources for the Future who worked at the EPA starting under the Reagan administration and continuing into President Bill Clinton’s first term.

A decade ago, in a landmark study, Morgenstern and others looked at the effect of regulations on four heavily polluting industries — pulp and paper mills, plastic manufacturers, petroleum refiners, and iron and steel mills — between 1979 and 1991.

The researchers concluded that higher spending to comply with environment rules does not cause “a significant change” in industry employment. When jobs were lost, they were often made up elsewhere in the same industry. For every $1 million companies spent, as many as 1.5 net jobs were added to the economy.

The White House has tried to be particularly sensitive about the burden on businesses when rules are added. This year, Obama issued an executive order that agencies pay close attention to how rules might affect employment.

Do small businesses in the U.S. create most of our jobs? According to the Census Bureau the vast majority of small businesses have 9 employees or less. In 2008 there were 27,757,676 total firms.
  • Of these only 21.8% have any employees at all.
  • Of the firms that have employees 78.8% have 9 employees or less.
  • Of the 6,049,655 employer firms in 2007 61.2% had sales receipts of $999,999 or less (so the owner isn't pay themselves a million-dollar salary.)

Jared Bernstein says in a post that most people don't work for small businesses, and that such businesses are not the engine of job growth. He cites 2008 census data, which says 61 percent of American companies are small businesses with fewer than four workers — but more than two-thirds of the American work force is employed by companies with more than 100 workers. You can tweak the definitions, but even if you define “small” as fewer than 500 people (as the federal government does, basically), you still find that half the work force is employed by large businesses.

On Fox News Eric Bolling had said that 96% of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's members are small businesses. But what he also deliberately failed to mention was that only 11% of all small American businesses actually belongs to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce, which is generally considered to be a conservative organization, and is one of the largest lobbying groups in the U.S., spending more money than any other lobbying organization on a yearly basis. (Read Millionaire Tax Hurts Small Businesses - DEBUNKED!)

Someone like Karl Rove can incorporate himself as a consultant, obtain legal "limited liability" for his personal actions, call himself a "small business", not hire anybody, and join the U.S. Chamber of Commerce. There are many "small businesses" like this.

According to a recent poll released by the Hartford Financial Group, when small-business owners were asked to name the single biggest barrier to success, only 9 percent cited government rules and regulations. Just 2 percent cited “too many taxes or uncertainty related to taxes.” (The Washington Post reported recently that economists say regulation has little impact on job creation over all.)

For years, economists and the Bureau of Labor Statistics and the Treasury Department and countless others have been telling policymakers that business aren't hiring because of a lack of demand for their goods and services, a concept that even Republicans used to understand. But because they don't like Nobel Prize-winning economists and official government data, or because they're intentionally sabotaging the economy for political gain — or both — Republicans have pretended not to hear. Even when corporate executives and small business owners have said lack of demand is the problem, Republicans have pretended not to notice.

Economists from across the political spectrum have also weighed into this debate and reached the same conclusion. Bruce Bartlett, a senior advisor in both the Reagan and George H.W. Bush administrations, said that “no hard evidence” has been offered for claims that regulation is the “principal factor holding back employment.” And in a Wall Street Journal survey of economists, 65 percent of respondents concluded that a lack of demand, not government policy, was the main impediment to increased hiring. (Read the full article at the U.S. Treasury.)

Here's how absurd the GOP's blame-everything-except-demand economic analysis is: A new survey (PDF) of small business owners conducted by the National Federation of Independent Business finds that not only do more small business owners identify lack of demand as the biggest impediment to growth than any other factor, most of those who identify "uncertainty" as an impediment really mean lack of demand.

It's interesting to note that the National Federation of Independent Business favors the standard conservative agenda of lower taxes and deregulation. Indeed, the group has become a purely partisan operation, fighting more for Republican electoral victory than small-business growth. For example, it opposed the president’s jobs bill, even though independent analysts estimated it would significantly increase economic demand, and the federation’s own survey shows that “poor sales” — a k a weak demand — is a much bigger problem for its members than taxes or regulations.

The NFIB's political action committee, SAFE Trust PAC and the NFIB Direct Response Director John Buchanan, claim to be a nonprofit, nonpartisan organization, but they support Tea Party candidates, and the right-wing advocacy organization overwhelmingly supports Republican candidates. It's business partners include the likes of Dell, FedEx, and Bank of America.

But even the NFIB found that "25 percent named "demand" as their single greatest impediment versus 22 percent who named "uncertainty"...and that no "other impediment is nearly as significant." Just 11 percent, for example, named "regulatory or legal issues their most significant impediment," contrary to non-stop Republican rhetoric about onerous government regulations. And only five percent identified a "lack of skilled employees" as their biggest problem. (Engineers in China earn what an employee of McDonalds earns in the U.S., so having a skill or college education doesn't guarantee a job in the U.S. either.)

The Republicans love to claim that "uncertainty" about taxes and regulations is keeping businesses from hiring, so it isn't hard to imagine them taking comfort in the fact that "uncertainty" was the second-most-frequently mentioned impediment to growth — or trying to concoct some excuse for claiming it was really first. So here's where things get interesting: It turns out that when small business owners say "uncertainty" is an impediment to growth, they mean economic uncertainty, not political uncertainty. And by economic uncertainty, they mean uncertainty about demand.

Jared Bernstein also points out regarding job creation that "it’s not small businesses that matter, but new businesses, which by definition create new jobs. Real job creation, though, doesn’t kick in until those small businesses survive and grow into larger operations."

And those larger multi-national corporate conglomerates have an army of well-paid litigation lawyers and tax attorneys to skirt the laws and avoid taxes. At the very most, government regulations might sometimes reign in the CEO's multi-million dollar salaries paid as stock options whenever they increase shareholder value by cutting jobs and paying the least "effective" tax rate for corporate taxes.

It's been proven time and again, for the past two centuries, that the larger corporations have had little-to-no regard about the air we breath, the water we drink, the safety of their products, or worker safety. Their bottom line and profits is their first and only concern. The owners don't build their factories in their own backyards, but usually in impoverished areas where the taxes are low and workers are desperate for work...or where there's little-to-no regulation and where wages are low, like in China.

Without regulations, American children would be poisoned with lead like they are in China.

And remember, those that advocate for big corporations can't also advocate for small businesses (privately owned small entrepreneurships). Whenever possible, small businesses are usually destroyed by their bigger corporate competitors in many different ways for the larger market share, or they are just bought out. Mergers and Acquisitions and legal monopolies are still alive and doing very well in America.

* For more about small business concerns, read this New York Times piece.

My related posts:

Friday, October 14, 2011

Tea Party Exposed - Against Small Business

The Tea Party stated in their newsletter today that "Small businesses have created more than 64 percent of all new jobs over the last 15 years, according to the Small Business Administration. Yet today they are unable to do so as a result of government regulations, taxes, and tight business credit."

But according to this article from Think Progress (and in a subsequent research of their sources) it seems that contrary to these claims, small businesses say taxes and regulation aren’t holding them back.

And in page 2 of this article from Mother Jones it asks, "Are American businesses paralyzed by fear of a tidal wave of new regulations?" (Read the whole article Rich People Create Jobs! and the 6 myths)

When McClatchy reporter Kevin Hall went out and asked small-business owners about this, he got a clear answer. "Absolutely, positively not," said one.

"Government regulations are not choking our business," said another.

In its most recent quarterly survey (PDF) of small-business trends, the National Federation of Independent Business reports that sales — i.e., lack of demand — is the #1 concern, beating out taxes, regulations, inflation, and everything else.

The Koch brothers Tea Party, in its early days, might have represented the wishes of the middle-class...until they were hijacked and financed by a large corporation. Now BIG BUSINESS is all they stand for.

Also read:

Millionaire Tax Plan Hurts Job Creators - DEBUNKED!

Will Eliminating Tax Cuts for the Rich Hurt Small Businesses?

The Tea Party Loved Medicare, before they Hated It

Tea Party's Health Care Compact

The Tea Party - Just Another Damn Corporation

Tea Party Radical Mike Pence - "Shut it down!"

Monday, October 10, 2011

Millionaire Tax Hurts Small Businesses - DEBUNKED!

Small businesses in the U.S. create most of our jobs. Are we in agreement so far? This is the one thing that the Democrats AND the Republicans can rarely agree on these days.

According to the Census Bureau the vast majority of small businesses have 9 employees or less. In 2008 there were 27,757,676 total firms. 

  • Of these only 21.8% have any employees at all.
  • Of the firms that have employees 78.8% have 9 employees or less.
  • Of the 6,049,655 employer firms in 2007 61.2% had sales receipts of $999,999 or less, so the owner can't pay themselves a million-dollar salary.

Fox News and the Republicans are always saying that Obama wants to tax small businesses, hurting "job creators", when it's only a proposed tax on those earning over $1 million a year. But those are usually CEOs of BIG businesses, not small businesses. And they usually earn much more than $1 million (Unless you were like Karl Rove, incorporated yourself, and ran a supper PAC, and paid yourself a million dollars or more.)

Millionaires (large corporate CEOS, etc.) get paid from profits in the corporate treasury. If there's some cash left over after operating costs, the board of directors can vote themselves a bonus. It has nothing to do with creating jobs. And like Warren Buffett says, these large corporate CEOs are paying a lower tax rate than their secretaries.

Corporate taxes on the corporate treasury after profits is an entirely different matter. Example: Exxon-Mobil had the greatest profits ever in the history of mankind, paid no corporate taxes and even received a taxpayer subsidy....and they employee 83,600 people worldwide out of a U.S. labor force of 150 million. Exxon's CEO Rex W. Tillerson earned $29 million in total compensation in 2010.

Obama only wants tax Mister Tillerson the same effective tax rate that's currently being taxed on the owner and sole proprietor of Sally's Lemonade Stand and Mister Tillerson's secretary. Obama wants to tax him, not you.

John McCain once claimed that 23 million small-business owners would pay higher tax rates under Obama. He was wrong. The vast majority would see no change, and many would even get a cut.

The U.S. Small Business Administration Office of Advocacy estimates the total number of "small" firms with fewer than 500 workers reached 26.8 million in 2006. That’s the most recent estimate. But even that number is inflated.

It turns out, SBA’s estimate includes more than 20 million "non-employer" firms, an unknown number of them sideline or hobby businesses run by persons who actually make their living some other way. Census and SBA count as a "small business" anyone who reported as little as $1,000 of business receipts.

By that very broad definition, Barack Obama would also be a small-business owner, by virtue of his book income. As would President Bush, Vice President Cheney, Karl Rove, and maybe even myself (if you left me a modest donation with Paypal

Of the 26.8 million that SBA counts as "small businesses," fewer than 6 million are actually "employer firms" with any payroll (I don't hire people either).

From this, we must conclude that to arrive at McCain's previous 23 million figure, he and the Republicans are counting mostly "business owners" with no workers, including those who simply report small amounts of income from sideline or freelance work. The Republicans are arguing that Obama’s tax increase would "destroy jobs," but he’s counting mostly firms that don’t produce any.

That in itself is seriously misleading. If the Republicans want to focus on the effects of Obama’s plan on employment, they would do better to confine their count to employers – the just under 6 million firms that actually have workers.

And even that figure wouldn’t be applicable because Obama’s tax increase wouldn’t fall on all employers, only on those with PERSONAL INCOMES over $1 million. Taxes will go up only if small-business owners have capital gains or dividends, but Obama’s proposal would not increase rates on capital gains or dividends for couples making under $250,000, or singles making under about $200,000, regardless of whether they are classified as small-business owners or not.

Recently on Fox News Eric Bolling had said that 96% of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's members are small businesses. But what he also deliberately failed to mention was that only 11% of all small American businesses actually belongs to the U.S. Chamber of Commerce.

The actual number of business owners who would be affected by Obama's "millionaire tax" turns out to be well under a million, and the number of employers would be even less.

However, not even all of those can properly be called "small-business owners" (or "JOB CREATORS"). Some are farmers. Many are lawyers, accountants or other professionals who get some of their income in the form of partnership distributions. Others may be passive investors in real-estate partnerships or similar investment arrangements and not really persons who own and manage a business....OR HIRE PEOPLE.

For all these reasons it was judged that the actual number of small-business employers who would face higher tax rates under Obama is probably far below what the Republicans claim. and certainly a far cry from the Republican's ridiculously inflated 23 million figure.

So what have we learned? Let's recap: Most jobs are created by small business owners and most small business owners don't have personal incomes over $1 million a year in personal earnings (maybe GROSS revenues, but not PERSONAL SALARIES). "Job creators" wouldn't be hurt, just our economy and the government's ability to conduct it's business would be hurt -- by NOT taxing millionaires (like Exxon's CEO Rex W. Tillerson).

But as always, the Republicans use false statistics and outright lies to get their own way. That's why I hate Republicans and the Fox News channel...because so many are millionaires and are just too greedy to pay their fair share.

* Sourced from Fact Check and the Census Bureau