Saturday, July 20, 2013

Elizabeth Warren Wins Debate on CNBC (video)

Senator Elizabeth Warren appeared on CNBC's "Squawk Box" last Friday to discuss her proposed update of the Glass-Steagall Act and the big banks --- but the station's hosts didn't appear to be willing participants --- they almost sounded hostile.

The interview was later posted at Elizabeth Warren's YouTube channel and the website Upworthy.Com helped make the video go viral. Then CNBC filed a copyright complaint against Warren --- and the video was since removed from her YouTube channel. (What didn't CNBC want the general public to see?)

Warren co-sponsored a bill with Senators John McCain (R-Ariz.), Maria Cantwell (D-Wash.) and Angus King (I-Maine). The bill is aimed at reining in risk at the nation's biggest banks by separating traditional banks that offer checking and savings accounts insured by the FDIC from riskier financial institutions. The latter category includes companies such as Goldman Sachs, AIG and others that are involved in investment banking, insurance, credit default swaps (derivatives), hedge funds and private equity.

The bill would essentially roll back the 1999 Gramm-Leach-Bliley Act, the bill that Republican Senator Phil Gramm helped introduce, and that President Bill Clinton signed into law. Warren's bill would reinstate provisions of the Glass-Steagall Act. (Three years later Senator Gramm went to work for the banking giant USB).

CNBC has posted the video of Warren's interview on their web site, but when informed that their embed system didn't work on mobile devices and tended to break sites, they uploaded the clip to their own YouTube channel. (Further below is the embedded video.)

CNBC host Joe Kernen opened the discussion by asking Elizabeth Warren the silly question of how she'd like to be addressed --- as Professor or as Senator --- reminding us of the Massachusetts Senatorial debate between Warren and Scott Brown.

Three Strikes and you're out!

During the interview, Warren was triple-tagged teamed by three CNBC hosts --- Joe Kernen, Amanda Drury and Brian Sullivan --- but Warren easily countered all their assertions that financial regulation can't prevent the banks' risky bets.

Joe Kernen was dismissive of Warren's short history on U.S. banking, saying it was all "apples and oranges."

Amanda Drury said that according to every report she's ever read, and everyone she's ever spoken to, that there's "a very, very, very slim chance" of Warren's bill ever passing. Warren responded: "Well let me put it this way, if you don't fight for it, the chances are zero."

Brian Sullivan asked Warren, "Shouldn't we just tell the American consumer that no matter what we do, there will be bank boom and bust cycles, no matter what the laws and regulations" --- but then he later says, "I didn't say regulation never worked."

I also have a copy of the video in case YouTube pulls it down again. But personally, I really don't see the big deal. By now we're all very aware of the banks nefarious dealings and of Senator Warren's attempts to correct these abuses. But why would a media outlet like CNBC (whose parent company is the tax dodger evader avoider GE) complain? Is it because CNBC is working on behalf of the big financial institutions? Could it be because a host of big banks and private equity firms owns GE stock --- and just wants to control the public message? Or maybe it's because an advertiser on CNBC's website (ING, a Dutch bank) objected to the content of the video.


UpWorthy says this raises a larger question: Aren't U.S. Congressional Senators allowed to share clips of themselves on TV? What provoked CNBC (via YouTube) to pull this specific video down in the first place? UpWorthy also sent CNBC a list of other Senator's interviews that were also posted on YouTube, but without any of CNBC's copyright objections.

Check out these recent headlines from the Wall Street Journal:

* Goldman Sachs's Profit Doubles on Strong Trading Revenue
* HDFC Bank April-June Profit Increases 30%
* Citigroup's Profits Rises 42%
* Wells Fargo Profits Jumps 19%
* J.P. Morgan Profits Surge 31%
* Bank Makes Case for Higher Short-Term Rates
* Rising Mortgage Rates Take Banks on a New Ride
* Banks Cautious as Profits Rise

But the banks don't think they are earning enough as it is, so they are also spending millions lobbying to weaken Dodd-Frank:

* Huffington Post: Elizabeth Warren Vows To Fight Legislation Weakening Dodd-Frank
* Bloomberg: Swap Regulators Face Congressional Push to Curb Dodd-Frank
* Think Progress: Congress Moves To Weaken Dodd-Frank Reforms That Officials Want Strengthened
* Rolling Stone: DejaVu on the Hill: Wall Street Lobbyists Roll Back Finance Reform, Again
* Mother Jones: Democrats Are Undermining Wall Street Reform, Too
* Washington Post: Is it already time to weaken Dodd-Frank?

Thursday, July 18, 2013

Heritage Foundation: Workers Must be more Productive

From the Washington Post: For a long time in America, earnings and productivity went hand and hand: The more productive workers got, the more they made. That relationship appeared to break down starting in the early 1970s, as productivity increased but wages flat-lined.

According the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, manufacturing in the U.S. peaked in 1979 when there were over 19.6 million manufacturing jobs --- but that has been on a downward trend ever since. And 1979 was also when the total number of union members had peaked out at over 22 million. And so it' no coincidence that today the labor force participation rate is also at the lowest since 1979.

As to wages since that time: James Sherk, a senior policy analyst at the conservative Heritage Foundation, contends total compensation, properly adjusted for inflation, has kept pace with properly-measured productivity (on average).

The real problem, he says, is that far too many workers are stuck in low-productivity jobs, particularly in the health-care sector. He argues policymakers should be focused on helping those workers gain more skills and move into more productive sectors — specifically, by looking for ways to reduce the cost and increase the accessibility of higher education. (The healthcare sector? What about retail and fast-food?)

While average wages have fallen by 7 percent over the last 40 years, Sherk calculates total compensation has risen 30 percent. By using his methodology for calculating worker's wages, Sherk finds there’s hardly a gap between the growth in what an average worker earns and the average productivity gains over the last 40 years.

What he does find persists is a gap between productivity and median worker compensation. Sherk blames this on market forces, including globalization and automation, pushing lower-skilled workers into low-productivity jobs. If those workers could more easily and cheaply gain more skills — say, through widely available, low-cost online education — they could compete for higher-productivity jobs.

James Sherk in an interview: “The problem is, we need to find ways to make more workers more productive. The focus of policy should be to make it easier for more workers to gain more skills.”

American workers need to be more productive and acquire more skills? Is James Sherk at the Heritage Foundation implying that if 20 million Americans (who are either unemployed or can't find full-time work) were all healthy and robust 21-year-old athletes with a PhD in computer Science -- and they all had an IQs of 175 or higher -- and they were all ambitious --- they would all be more productive, and therefore, they would all find good-paying middle-class jobs?

For Economic Wonks Only (This is far above my pay level, but if you know of any economists who can make sense of all this, please have them explain it to me. Thanks.)

Per Media Reports

This is per a new report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, via the Huffington Post: "The economic recovery just keeps getting worse for the average worker as U.S. employers squeezed their employees even harder than usual in the first quarter [of 20123], leading to the biggest drop in hourly pay on record." Worker productivity is up, corporate profits, CEO salaries, and the stock markets are all at record highs --- but workers haven't been reaping the same rewards that their employers have been. Average Americans today are making less, after inflation, than they made in the early 1970s. Something has gone fundamentally wrong. American workplaces are simply no longer working for those who punch timecards. Last year Walmart's CEO Mike Duke made 796 times the average worker's pay and Target's CEO made 645 times the average worker's salary. The rate of CEO pay has far outstripped wage growth for the country's rank and file. A recent report from the AFL-CIO found that CEO pay grew at a rate 127 times faster than worker pay over the last 30 years.

Also Related to Workers

The Official McDonald's Employee McBudget

SNAP (food stamps) actually are not welfare for the workers themselves, who undoubtedly don’t have wonderful lives. What ends up happening is, because the government comes in and supplements egregiously low wages with benefits like food stamps, the companies don’t have to pay living wages. So in effect, your tax money is being used to support corporate margins. (I call these "wage subsidies").

Many of these folks who qualify food stamps spend them at the very companies which refuse to pay them decent wages. Who benefits? CEOs and shareholders. Who loses? The taxpayers (government / society).

Guess what would happen if these companies failed to pay high enough wages and food stamps didn’t exist? There would be massive employee organizing, where ultimately, the companies would have to change their tact. This of course doesn’t happen when the taxpayers makes up the difference, and that is exactly what these corporations want (but without the corporate taxes of course).

Just in case you weren’t already aware of how difficult it is to survive on minimum wage, allow McDonald’s to lay it all out for you. The fast food giant has partnered with Visa to release a budget journal to help their employees to better manage their meager finances.

In a hilariously obtuse budget breakdown, the Big Mac purveyor’s first piece of advice to their employees is: "Get a second job."

Yup, even McDonald’s knows that workers can’t survive on the pittance they make flipping patties and fighting off customers. So tallying up all of these totally realistic expenses, a McDonald’s employee would need to net $2,060 per month to make this budget work. Broken down, that would mean working at least 40 hours per week and making at least $15 an hour pre-taxes to earn the necessary $12.86 an hour. (Currently, McDonald’s workers earn an average of $8.25 per hour, barring any funny business.)

Maybe their employees wouldn't need a second job if McDonald's wasn't paying their workers with debit cards. By the way, as you can see in their sample budget below, it shows $20 for heath insurance. Tell me where can I sign up.

The Official McBudget
Screenshot below from their website

For more on how ridiculous this is, watch this video.

Wichita’s richest native son, billionaire Charles Koch, says he knows the real threat to jobs in Kansas: the minimum wage. His tax-exempt foundation has just begun an ad blitz in to expose that danger, and Koch says he’s personally helping fashion this new campaign against “government overreach” in the economy. Koch's current net worth ($43.8 billion) may soon expand his campaign to other cities. Too bad for McDonalds employees. Maybe they'll need three jobs.

Vietnam—a country of 92 million whose economy has grown at an average annual rate of 7% over the past decade—began opening to foreign investors two decades ago, but investment rose significantly after the communist-led country joined the World Trade Organization in 2007. McDonald's said it plans to open its first restaurant in Vietnam, after awarding the franchise to the son-in-law of the nation's prime minister. McDonald's said it sees an opportunity to grow in Vietnam as the average income rises. Vietnam will be McDonald's 38th country in Asia. (I guess that means all those Nike factory workers will have somewhere to go on Friday night now. Oops! I forgot, they don't earn enough to eat at McDonald's.)

Wednesday, July 17, 2013

The Tale of Two Economies

"It was the best of times, it was the worst of times, it was the age of wisdom, it was the age of foolishness, it was the epoch of belief, it was the epoch of incredulity, it was the season of Light, it was the season of Darkness, it was the spring of hope, it was the winter of despair, we had everything before us, we had nothing before us, we were all going direct to Heaven, we were all going direct the other way --- in short, the period was so far like the present period, that some of its noisiest authorities insisted on its being received, for good or for evil, in the superlative degree of comparison only." ~ A Tale of Two Cities (1859) by Charles Dickens (He could have written that today.)

In an earlier post I said that I would never post about the banks again, thinking that I had said all there was to say on the subject. But after seeing their latest earnings reports, I just couldn't help myself (go ahead, sue me). So today I'm going to rant about the banks again, among other things (as they are all inter-related).

"Let me issue and control a nation's money and I care not who makes its laws." ~ A quote that was attributed to Amsel Rothschild. In other words, "Because I own the people who make the laws, I am above all the laws." Whether or not the quote was actually ever muttered, it might have very well been the reality ever since 2,000 BC in the history of banking. And it's true today, just ask Eric Holder. Banking, maybe the world's second oldest profession (the oldest survives on one basic human instinct) is thoroughly encapsulated in another very basic and ancient human instinct, greed.

In the aftermath of the Great Recession, banks have been doing just fine...they always do well...they run their host governments and "sovereign" nations, they control the politics, and they essentially own most major businesses --- as well has most of the real estate. They have one economy, while the masses ("the little people") have quite a different one.

We have one set of laws and the bankers are above them all. We can go to jail for lying on a food stamp application, while the bankers can defraud the taxpayers of trillions of dollars and still remain "too big to jail". That's the global reality --- they have all the money; and anything and everyone can be bought or sold --- everything is for sale for the right price --- especially most of our politicians, just as they always have been, and just as they always will be. That's the other global reality (not only is business globalized, so is multi-national greed and corruption).

When we "bailed out the banks", the way I understood it (in the most simplest terms), the Fed (our central bank) digitally created almost $1 trillion out of thin air, then "loaned" it to the major banks ("to ease the credit market") at next to zero percent interest. Then the banks, in turn, bought up a ton of U.S. treasuries (fully backed the full faith of the U.S. government --- by us) and earned interest on those government securities, making untold "profits". Then after paying back the Fed, paid themselves huge bonuses. The Fed calls this "quantitative easing" --- to stimulate the economy when the basic economic theory of "supply-and-demand" breaks down. When the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke hinted that he might reverse this policy, business leaders went into a panic. No more free money, now they would actually have to sell something to earn a profit! OMG!!!

But sell what and where, and to who? Should they enable more "emerging markets" to produce consumers with low-wages in foreign countries, or should they hire more part-time low-wage workers here in the U.S.?

Meanwhile, with robo-signing and other nefarious money-making schemes (like using debit cards to pay employees), the banks and other major corporations have continued to extract more untold wealth from us. For "show", a few banks were fined a nominal fine by the government (which had already been previously calculated into the banks' cost of doing business, should they ever be called out), and then the banks just carried on with "business as usual". Congress passed the 2010 Dodd-Frank bill, which was supposed to help curtail some of the banking abuses; but that has been under attack ever since by banking lobbyists --- with both the Democrats and the Republicans in Congress as their allies. (Pete and Repeat were in a boat. Pete fell out, who was left?)

The Huffington Post - Bank of America's Earnings Jump 70 Percent On Cost-Cutting: "Bank of America says its second-quarter profits soared, helped by higher earnings from investment banking and cost-cutting...the country's second-biggest bank has been slimming down and cutting jobs...a strategy to escape potential extra scrutiny from regulators... some of the job cuts were in servicing troubled mortgages, which is shrinking as the bank works through those loans." Bank of America is running a scam on the American people to dump $1 trillion of mortgage loans. The banks might not want mortgages any more, they might want more stocks in other companies, and maybe more foreign investment, and they most likely want to gamble again on derivatives (credit default swaps).

Check out these recent headlines from the Wall Street Journal:

But the banks don't think they are earning enough, so they are trying to weaken Dodd-Frank too...

As major institutional investors, just like private equity firms (e.g. Vanguard and Bain Capital) and hedge funds, banks are heavily invested in major corporations, and they too are doing just fine in this economy...

And the CEOs of all these major corporations are also doing very well...earning record salaries (again)

  • New York Times: The median compensation of CEOs at 200 of the nation’s biggest public companies came in at $15.1 million last year, a 16 percent jump from 2011, according to Equilar, the executive compensation analysis firm. The pay packages — including salary, bonus, benefits, stock and option grants — ranged from $96.2 million at Oracle to $11.1 million at General Motors.

The tech industry has also been doing well, but they want more profits, and they will do it at the cost of American jobs with more H-1B visas. Congress (as usual) will cave in to the lobbyists and allow for this. They are also flooding the labor market with low-skilled labor with more H-2B visas, that not only displaces more American workers, but also costs the U.S. taxpayers millions of dollars. The current guestworker program we have is legalized slavery, (Read the study from the Southern Poverty Law Center in HTML or PDF). These guestworker programs have been undermining American worker's rights and depressing wages for years.

Meanwhile, if a job isn't being imported on a work visa or offshored to a low-wage country, (U.S. wages are already in a global race to the bottom), in the 99 percent's economy, most of the jobs being created in the aftermath of the Great Recession have been temporary and/or part-time and/or low-paying jobs without any healthcare insurance, forcing many Americans to use government entitlements, such as Medicaid and food stamps. Already companies like Walmart  are costing taxpayers millions with these "wage subsidies". And rather than offer healthcare, employers are also cutting hours to avoid paying a mandate for ObamaCare (meanwhile Christy Walton is raking in $1.2 million a day in Walmart stock dividends).

Restaurants and bars have been adding an average of 50,000 jobs monthly since April—about double the rate from 2012. Overall, leisure and hospitality establishments hired more workers than any other industry in June, accounting for 75,000 of the 195,000 jobs added last month. A number of restaurants and other low-wage employers say they are increasing their staffs by hiring more part-time workers to reduce reliance on full-timers before the new healthcare law takes effect. Besides retail and fast-food chains, large grocery chains like Wegmans are also doing the same thing.

And speaking of government entitlements, many of the most desperate Americans may not have that means of survival either. Regarding food stamps in the farm bill: “We’ll get to that later.” That was the dismissive answer of Speaker John Boehner when he was asked if the House would restore the food stamp program it had just coldly ripped out of the farm bill. The Republicans will deal with the nation’s most important anti-hunger program “later" --- meaning, maybe they will think about the needs of 47 million people who can’t afford adequate food. But yet, Congress wants to give farm subsidies to the wealthy. Not to mention, many in Congress are also trying to push chained-CPI on Social Security for the disabled and elderly, while Congressional salaries aren't calculated in that way (and they get a government paycheck worth $174,000 a year, not to mention healthcare and all the other perks and allowances they receive).

Things have not gotten better for the 99% since the economy collapsed in 2008, it's only gotten worst. But for the top 1%, things couldn't be better. Wealth disparity and income inequality continues to escalate --- and now even suburban poverty is off the charts. Wealth divides us as much as race, ideology or religion ever has.

Members of Congress (both the Democrats and the Republicans) continue to ignore the will, wants and needs of THE PEOPLE, and continues to only represent the interests of the rich and powerful, such as the banks and major corporations (cough-cough "the job creators"). And then after many of our political "leaders" leaves office, they go to work for the very people that they previously did favors for (tit for tat) -- either as a lobbyist or as a corporate executive (just like Senator Phil Gramm, who pushed to deregulate the banks in 1999, and then went on to work for a major bank in 2002).

And when the banks want to do something that they know we will think is wrong, they will lobby Congress to pass a law (in advance, at the time, or in the aftermath), making what they do "legal". The bankers and other corporate CEOs, using their Congressional lap dogs, make the laws, and so therefore, are above them all. It's well known that most people can't get ultra-wealthy without doing something totally unethical, morally reprehensible, corruptly evil and/or extremely dishonest. (Read: New Study: The Wealthy are more Unethical) And bankers, CEOs and most members of Congress (who are supposed to regulate the bankers and CEOs) are all at the top of the list...both the Democrats and the Republicans.

We may have two economies (one for the very rich, and one for the rest of us), but even though we have two political parties, is there really much difference, other than the better of two evils?

Maybe after this post, I really won't have to mention bankers again, because why bother? Over the course of what's left in my lifetime, nothing will ever change.

Wealth is like sea-water; the more the CEOs drink, the thirstier they become...” - (A shout out to Arthur Schopenhauer)

* Google Bud Meyers banks [or] bankers for my precious posts.

Tech Industry Wants 200,000 More H-1B Visas

The Center for Pubic Integrity has an article about a tech trade group that is pressing Congress to ease immigration laws:

"A technology trade group that’s aggressively pressing Congress to ease key immigration laws is heavily funded by one of the world’s wealthiest corporations. Corporate documents indicate that software giant Microsoft Corp. gave the nonprofit Association for Competitive Technology (ACT) nearly $2.5 million between July 2011 and June 2012. Microsoft also gave at least $1 million to ACT during the company’s 2009, 2010 and 2011 fiscal years — although it did not disclose the specific payment amounts.Microsoft representatives declined to comment on the company’s relationship with ACT.

In addition to Microsoft, the trade group’s members include a few of the biggest names in  technology, such as eBay Inc., Intel Corp., Oracle Corp. and VeriSign Inc. ACT has been among a bevy of tech groups lobbying heavily on the comprehensive immigration reform bill, known as S. 744, which the U.S. Senate approved last month.

Most notable among their concerns: expanding the H1-B visa program, which allows highly skilled foreign residents to work in the U.S. temporarily. “Your support for S. 744 will allow America to better realize opportunities for innovation and job creation today, as well as secure our economic strength in the future,” read a June 20 letter to Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid  and Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, Further below is the letter they mention from Google, Facebook, Microsoft, Yahoo, Oracle and everyone else on the "who's who" list in the tech industry.

The fate of immigration reform now lies with the U.S. House of Representatives, where its prospects are uncertain. ACT, for one, is continuing to press its case. But read this stinging report from Roll Call on the Senate's immigration bill:

"Too much of the bill is corporate giveaways, at the expense of wage growth and job opportunities for U.S. workers. A massive guest worker program will fill year-round jobs in lower-skilled occupations like housekeeping and landscaping, and a separate, existing seasonal program for similar jobs will double in size. The Senate apparently doesn’t care that wages have been flat and unemployment in double digits for years in these occupations.

The tech sector’s lobbying firestorm — based on unsupportable claims about severe labor shortages in science, technology, engineering and math fields — paid off. S744 nearly triples the troubled H-1B guest worker program without fixing its loopholes and abuses despite little evidence of a high-tech labor shortage. Most H-1B guest workers are employed in information technology jobs, where wages are stuck at 1990s levels and unemployment remains above pre-recession levels.

To the benefit of contractors and supplier firms, the bill wastefully spends $46 billion for more drones, equipment and manpower to further militarize the southern border. The additional 20,000 border patrol agents the bill mandates will have little to do since the net flow of unauthorized migrants from Mexico is already near zero and, because of Mexican demographic trends, is unlikely to increase significantly.

Also read: H-2B Work Visas Costing Taxpayers Millions

--- THE LETTER ---

June 20, 2013

The Honorable Harry Reid
Majority Leader
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510

The Honorable Mitch McConnell
Republican Leader
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510
Dear Leader Reid and Leader McConnell:

As representatives of the leading technology innovators, designers, manufacturers, entrepreneurs, and job creators in the United States, we write to request your support for S.744, the Border Security, Economic Opportunity, and Immigration Modernization Act of 2013. This critically important legislation would help ensure that America continues to be the location of the world’s most innovative and fastest growing industries—those that rely on intellectual property and highly educated talent. Your support for S. 744 will allow America to better realize opportunities for innovation and job creation today, as well as secure our economic strength in the future.

America is the most prosperous country in the world. The U.S. technology sector employs over 6 million Americans and contributes $1 trillion to our country’s Gross Domestic Product. Our success stems from our historic diversity, and the constant infusion of new and innovative ideas fostered by our democratic system of education and innovation.

We applaud the Gang of Eight, the bipartisan sponsors of S. 744, as well as the bill’s bipartisan supporters in the Senate Judiciary Committee, who have collaboratively crafted and refined a comprehensive bill that would truly modernize a broken and outdated immigration system. We strongly believe the many reforms in S. 744 that impact high skilled immigration – including key improvements in the availability of both green cards and H-1B visas – will help address the national talent shortage in the near-term, while also creating a long-term pipeline of American workers through establishing a much-needed new fund for science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) education, including computer science education. The bill will also protect and better prepare American workers, and enable employers and entrepreneurs of all sizes in every state to recruit and retain the world’s best talent.

Senate approval of S. 744 is essential if our economy will continue to foster innovation and invigorate many U.S. business sectors through an educated and highly skilled workforce of domestic and foreign-born talent. Absent reform, if every American graduate receiving an advanced STEM degree gets a job, the U.S. is estimated to face at least 200,000 unfilled advanced-degree STEM jobs by 2018. These unfilled jobs represent lost opportunities for our country, but with S. 744, we can fill these jobs, create new ones and invest in a future of economic growth.

We urge your support for S. 744, which will help to open a new path to American innovation, American economic strength, and greater opportunities for American workers.

Sincerely,

Maury Blackman,
President & Chief Executive Office
Accela

Khaled Naim
Co-founder & Chief Executive Officer
Addy Inc.

Darrell Ford
Chief Human Resources Officer
Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

Pankaj Jindal
Chief Operating Officer
Akraya Inc.

Hannah Kain
Chief Executive Officer
ALOM

Eric Davidson
President
American Automation & Communications, Inc.

David A. Raymond
President & Chief Executive Officer
American Council of Engineering
Companies

Mike Splinter
Chief Executive Officer
Applied Materials, Inc.

Kevin Surace
Chief Executive Officer
Appvance

Steven Zylstra
President & Chief Executive Officer
Arizona Technology Council

Richard Lord
President & Chief Executive Officer
Associated Industries of Massachusetts

Morgan Reed
Executive Director
Association for Competitive Technology

Randall Stephenson
Chairman and Chief Executive Officer
AT&T

Carl Bass
President & Chief Executive Officer
Autodesk, Inc.

Kevin Kennedy
Chief Executive Officer
Avaya Inc.

Jim Wunderman
President & Chief Executive Officer
Bay Area Council

Michael S. Scheeringa
President & Chief Executive Officer
BBA Aviation Flight Support

Brad Bullington
Chief Executive Officer
Bridgelux

Matt Reid
Senior Vice President
External Affairs, BSA | The Software
Alliance

Mike Montgomery
Executive Director
CALinnovates

Pasquale Romano
President & Chief Executive Officer
ChargePoint

Richard Lowenthal
Chief Technology Officer
ChargePoint

John Chambers
Chief Executive Officer
Cisco Systems

Kim Polese
Chairman
ClearStreet Inc.

Edward Black
President & Chief Executive Officer
Computer & Communications Industry
Association

Todd Thibodeaux
President & Chief Executive Officer
Computing Technology Industry Association

Gary Shapiro
President & Chief Executive Officer
Consumer Electronics Association

David Spreng
Managing Partner
Crescendo Ventures

Kim Fennell
President & Chief Executive Officer
deCarta Inc.

Steve Price
Senior Vice President, Human Resources
Dell

Don Means
Founder & Principal
Digital Village

John Donahoe
President & Chief Executive Officer
eBay Inc.

Ronald Sege
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer
Echelon Corporation

Vishal Verma
Partner
EDGEWOOD Ventures

Fabio Rosati
Chief Executive Officer
Elance, Inc.
Michael McGeary
Co-Founder
Engine

Belal Hummadi
Chief Executive Officer
ExciteM

John McAdam
President & Chief Executive Officer
F5 Networks Inc.

Mark Zuckerberg
Chief Executive Officer
Facebook

Jerry Mix
Chief Executive Officer
Finelite Inc.

Caroline Dowling
President INS
Flextronics

Jeff Bussgang
General Partner
Flybridge Capital

Martin Schoeppler
President & Chief Executive Officer
FUJIFILM Dimatix, Inc.

Eric Schmidt
Executive Chairman
Google

Rami Branitzky
Chief Executive Officer
Grok

Koichi Fujikawa
Co-Founder
Hapyrus Inc.

Josh Mendelsohn
Managing Director
Hattery

Fred Hoch
President & Chief Executive Officer
Illinois Technology Association

Thomas Fallon
Chief Executive Officer
Infinera

Dean Garfield
President & Chief Executive Officer
Information Technology Industry Council

James Gutierrez
Chief Executive Officer
Insikt

Douglas Melamed
Senior Vice President and General Counsel
Intel

Adriane Brown
President & Chief Executive Officer
Intellectual Ventures

Paul Lovoi
Founder, President & Chief Executive Officer
Jan Medical

Kevin Johnson
Chief Executive Officer
Juniper Networks

Mary Meeker
General Partner
Kleiner Perkins Caufield Byers

John Doerr
Partner
Kleiner Perkins Caufield Byers

Shaun Cross
Chief Executive Officer
Lee & Hayes

Josh Becker
Chief Executive Officer
Lex Machina

Marty Beard
President & Chief Executive Officer
LiveOps, Inc.

Karl Sun
Chief Executive Officer
Lucid Software Inc.

Geetha Vallabhaneni
Chief Executive Office
Luminix, Inc.

Matt McIlwain
Managing Director
Madrona Venture Group

Tom Hopcroft
Chief Executive Officer
Massachusetts Technology Leadership Council

Darlene McCalmont
Chief Executive Officer
McCalmont Engineering

Steve Ballmer
Chief Executive Officer
Microsoft

Robert Greifeld
Chief Executive Officer
NASDAQ OMX

William Reinsch
President
National Foreign Trade Council

Bobbie Kilberg
President & Chief Executive Officer
Northern Virginia Technology Council (NVTC)

Randell J. McMills
Senior Vice President
Regional Executive the Americas, nxp Semiconductors

Ralph Schmitt
President & Chief Executive Officer
OCZ Technology Group, Inc.

Eric Stang
Chief Executive Officer
Ooma

Chris Larsen
Chief Executive Officer
OpenCoin, Inc.

Safra Catz
President & Chief Financial Officer
Oracle

Joseph Taylor
Chairman & CEO
Panasonic Corporation of North America

Maryse Thomas
Chief Executive Officer
Pokeware

Paul Jacobs
Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer
Qualcomm Incorporated

Lanham Napier
Chief Executive Officer
Rackspace

Steve Case
Chief Executive Officer & Chairman
Revolution LLC

Rita Cepeda
Chancellor
San Jose Evergreen/Community College Distirct

Barbara Holzapfel
SVP & Managing Director
SAP Labs North America

Denny McGuirk
President & Chief Executive Officer
SEMI

Brian Toohey
President & Chief Executive Officer
Semiconductor Industry Association

Greg Becker
President & Chief Executive Officer
Silicon Valley Bank

Carl Guardino
President & Chief Executive Officer
Silicon Valley Leadership Group

Scott Lang
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Silver Spring Networks

Ken Wasch
President
Software & Information Industry Association

Gary Yacoubian
Chief Executive Officer
Specialty Technologies, LLC

Andrew Ball
President, West Region
Suffolk

Virginia Klausmeier
Chief Executive Officer, Co-founder
Sylvatex Inc

Steve Bennett
President & Chief Executive Officer
Symantec Corporation

Aart de Geus
Chairman and co-Chief Executive Officer
Synopsys, Inc.

Scott Allison
Chief Executive Officer
Teamly Inc

Bruce Mehlman
Executive Director
Technology CEO Council

Shawn Osborne
President & Chief Executive Officer
TechAmerica

Alix Burns
Acting Chief Executive Officer
TechNet

Terry Howerton
Founder
TechNexus LLC

Grant Seiffert
President
Telecommunications Industry Association

Rich Templeton
Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer
Texas Instruments Incorporated

James Brett
President & Chief Executive Officer
The New England Council

Steve Westly
Managing Director
The Westly Group

Ryan Rogowski
Chief Executive Officer
Translate Abroad

Robert Lally
President
TransPak, Inc.

Steven Berglund
President & Chief Executive Officer
Trimble Navigation

Stephen Kaufer
President & Chief Executive Officer
TripAdvisor

David Cush
Chief Executive Officer
Virgin America

Susan Sigl
President & Chief Executive Officer
Washington Technology Industry Association

Steve Milligan
President & Chief Executive Officer
Western Digital Corporation

Moshe Gavrielov
Chief Executive Officer
Xilinx

Marissa Mayer
Chief Executive Officer
Yahoo

Jeremy Stoppelman
Chief Executive Officer
Yelp

Mark Pincus
Chief Executive Officer
Zynga

Evan Burfield
Co-founder
1776

cc: Members of the United States Senate

* Letter (PDF)

Tuesday, July 16, 2013

Disability Claims and Awards in Decline

In the aftermath of the Great Recession, from 2011 to 2102, it's reported that there were actually less Social Security disability claims, less awards and more SSDI terminations. By the end of 2012, total disabled workers numbered 8.8 million --- but the NPR consistently reports 14 million.

Key Findings:

  • By the end of George W. Bush's term in 2008 there were 7,427,203 disabled Americans on SSDI --- and by the end of 2012 there were 8,827,795 receiving monthly SSDI benefits.
  • Over the span of four years during Obama's first term as President (2009, 2010, 2011 and 2012) there was a net gain of 1,400,592 Americans on SSDI (for an average net gain of 350,148 people per year added to the SSDI rolls.)
  • In the aftermath of the Great Recession, from 2011 to 2102, there were actually less Social Security disability claims, less awards and more terminations.
  • Claims / Awards / Terminations

    • Claims (applications) for Social Security disability benefits decreased from 2,878,920 in 2011 to 2,820,812 in 2012 (a decrease of 58,108 for claims)
    • Awards also decreased from 1,025,003 in 2011 to 979,973 in 2012 (a decrease of 45,030 awards).
    • Terminations for SSDI increased (meaning less receiving SSDI benefits) from 656,902 in 2011 to 726,432 in 2012. --- There were 69,530 more terminations last year than the year before.
  • From 2011 to 2012 the net number of disabled workers receiving disability benefits rose by only 251,728
  • By the end of 2012, total disabled workers numbered 8.8 million and had an average monthly benefit of $1,130.34
  • The NPR has falsely and consistently reported that there are 14.0 million disabled workers
  • 50% of disability beneficiaries were between the ages of 56 and 66

The Media on the Disability Numbers

Dan Quayle (Chairman at Cerberus Capital Management, the private equity firm that owns Bushmaster Firearms) was the first president of the NPR. Today Gary Evan Knell is the president and CEO of the NPR, who may or may not be personally responsible for waging NPR's war on disabled Americans --- possibly in an attempt to influence pubic opinion by consistently reporting false statistics and skewed data regarding SSDI beneficiaries. This is something we may have once expected from the Republican Party, those who passed a bill in Congress to de-fund the NPR. But now it appears that the NPR and the GOP are mutual friends, and they also seem to have a common enemy --- disabled American workers.

The NPR has repeatedly reported that there are 14 million disabled workers.

  • The NPR reported in this article: "Every month, 14 million people now get a disability check from the government."
  • The NPR reported in this article: "The number of workers on disability has been doubling every 15 years or so. It has now reached that 14 million number."
  • The NPR reported in this article: "These 14 million Americans don't have jobs, but they don't show up in any of the unemployment measures that we use. They receive federal assistance, but are often overlooked in discussions of the social safety net."
  • The NPR reported in this article: "There are now 14 million people receiving benefits from the federal government because their disabilities make it hard for them to work."

At the Daily Kos Jennifer Kates writes a couple of comprehensive articles about the NPR's war on the disabled, about Social Security disability and the politics behind it.

Last year on Fox News even Bill O'Reilly (who hates all government entitlement programs) got the actual number right: "That number is a record 8,733,000 workers on disability." But then he goes on to say, "So why has the disability rate increased more than 100 percent? I'll tell you why. It's a con. It's easy to put in a bogus disability claim." But Mister O'Reilly doesn't differentiate between "claims" and actual "awards".

At the end of last year, just after O'Reilly reported on this, the Social Security Administration later reported that there were 8,827,795 --- Source: SSA (choose "disabled workers"). But the NPR would rather report 14 million. Why?

But even if one were to give the NPR the benefit of the doubt --- besides counting JUST disabled workers, if one were also to include disabled widows(ers), spouses of disabled workers and children of disabled workers, the total number would still be less than 14 million --- it would be 11,146,368.

And even if there were 14 million disabled Americans, so what. Shouldn't they all be compensated after becoming disabled and can no longer work? Shouldn't the unemployed also receive jobless benefits? Shouldn't the poor also receive food stamps and Medicaid? Shouldn't the elderly also receive Medicare and Social Security? If not, then what makes America any different than any other despotic country?

With the offshoring of jobs overseas, the millions who are still long-term unemployed, depressed wages, the ever increasing cost of living, an ever rising gap in wealth disparity and income inequality, ever more guestworker visas being implemented to import more foreign workers, increasing automation and robotics displacing ever more workers, and multi-billionaires like Charles Koch trying the eliminate the minimum wage, how are millions of ordinary Americans (the masses) expected to survive?

As it is now, according to the Social Security Administration, 50% of all U.S. wage earners (who filed a W-4 with an employer and paid FICA taxes) earned $26,965 a year or LESS. Those receiving disability benefits averaged only $13,564 a year.

Aren't the disabled (and the elderly) allowed to live? Especially older workers and those who worked all their lives in labor-intensive jobs to help make people like the Koch brothers so rich. 50% of those receiving SSDI are between the ages of 56 and 66 --- so they are already nearing early or regular retirement age...those who just couldn't manage to make it in the home stretch of their working careers.

JUST for disabled working-aged Americans (those that the NPR and Fox News insinuates are lazy and would rather be on the government dole receiving poverty-level benefits rather than working), the number is 8,827,795 for those keeping score.

See all the data and charts further below from the Social Security Administration with direct links to sources.

Disability, Unemployment Benefits, Older Workers and Jobs

A Congressional Budget Office study says that when opportunities for employment are plentiful, some people who could qualify for disability benefits find working more attractive. Conversely, when employment opportunities are scarce, some of those people participate in the disability program instead. Indeed, applications to the program increased -- during and immediately following the recessions that occurred in the early 1990s, in 2001, and over the past few years --- as did the number of people receiving disability benefits.

Stephen Goss, chief actuary of the Social Security Administration, acknowledged that when employers are hiring lots of people, disabled people (just like any one else) also finds it easier to land a job

Last year the Wall Street Journal also reported that many desperate Americans may be seeking refuge in the disability program as a last resort after their unemployment insurance and savings run out. But earlier this year, in a new study by Jesse Rothstein (University of California, Berkeley and NBER) found that there was "no indication that expiration of UI benefits causes DI applications."

Last year the Congressional Budget Office also did study on this subject, and according to the Huffington Post, had found that "The rise in America's ranks of disabled stems from an aging population, a surge in women workers, changes in the law in the 1980s and a terrible economy in which disabled people can't find jobs" and that "the biggest jump in the disabled population came from aging Baby Boomers."

Now the Wall Street Journal is acknowledging Jesse Rothstein's study: "The sharp rise in federal disability rolls in recent years has sparked worry that able-bodied workers are using the system to hide from the weak job market. But new research suggests those fears may be overblown."

Even though a study says, "As the U.S. population grows older, the number of years Americans can expect to live with disability from causes such as depression and low back and neck pain has increased."

And that's not even accounting for a Congressional hearing on the long-term unemployed which determined that older workers who were laid off during the Great Recession haven't been offered jobs, and still remain long-term unemployed.

And that doesn't even account for a lack of jobs in general (3.1 unemployed for every job opening). The Wall Street Journal reports that not enough people are quitting their jobs, and that a humming economy usually means a high rate of churn in the work force --- where an employee voluntarily leaves one job for another in search of a higher paying job and new challenges. But that's not happening.

And of the jobs that have been created lately, restaurants and bars have done the bulk of hiring with younger people in part-time low-paying jobs.

Data From the Social Security Administration

Applications (claims) Awards (added) Terminations (subtracted) Total Disabled
2011 2,878,920 1,025,003 656,902 8,576,067
2012 2,820,812 979,973 726,432 8,827,795
Difference 58,108 less 45,030 less 69,530 more 251,728

Social Security Administration - Benefits Paid by Type of Beneficiary for "Disabled worker" for the last 5 years (annual numbers) -- Source: http://www.ssa.gov/oact/ProgData/icp.html

* There was a net gain of 251,728 from 2011 to 2012 who received Social Security disability benefits

End of
year
Number Average
amount
Dec 2008 7,427,203 $1,063.14
Dec 2009 7,789,113 $1,064.31
Dec 2010 8,204,710 $1,067.79
Dec 2011 8,576,067 $1,110.51
Dec 2012 8,827,795 $1,130.34

Disabled worker beneficiary statistics by calendar year -- Source: http://www.ssa.gov/oact/STATS/dibStat.html

Social Security Disability

For 2012: 2,820,812 applications (claims) -- 979,973 awards (approvals) -- 726,432 terminations (stopped receiving SSDI benefits) = a net gain of 253,541 for 2012.

Claims / Awards / Terminations --- Claims for SS disability decreased from 2,878,920 in 2011 to 2,820,812 in 2012 (and decrease of 58,108 for claims), and actual awards also decreased from 1,025,003 in 2011 to 979,973 in 2012. Terminations also increased (meaning less received SSDI benefits) from 656,902 in 2011 to 726,432 in 2012 (there were 69,530 more terminations). !

  • a) The number of applications is for disabled-worker benefits only and, as such, excludes disabled child's and disabled widow(er)'s benefits. Applications ultimately result in either a denial or award of benefits. These counts include applications that are denied because the individual is not insured for disability benefits.
  • b) Award data are unedited and may contain duplicates.
  • c) The number of terminations is the number of beneficiaries who leave the disability rolls for any reason.

Disabled workers: 8,827,795 Average monthly benefit: $1,130.34 (50% are between the ages of 56 and 66) -- Source: http://www.ssa.gov/oact/ProgData/byage.html

* Disabled workers and dependents: 10,614,398 - Counting dual-entitled beneficiaries - If a beneficiary is entitled to both a primary benefit (as a retired or disabled worker) and another benefit (say a spousal benefit) payable from the same trust fund, then he or she is counted only once in our statistics as a primary beneficiary.

** Also posted at the Daily Kos as Report: Disability Claims and Awards Declining

Monday, July 15, 2013

H-2B Work Visas Costing Taxpayers Millions

Members of Congress, working on behalf of unscrupulous employers, are ignoring the vital purpose of the Recovery Act that was supposed to put Americans back to work.

The abuse of temporary foreign workers in the United States has been well documented, from the Bracero program of the 1960s to the recent cases of seafood workers in Maryland and Louisiana, fast-food workers in Pennsylvania, and forestry workers in Georgia. The wrongs to workers are sometimes nothing short of criminal: wage theft, violence and threats of violence, even peonage.

But harm is done to U.S. workers, too, before temporary “guest” workers are ever brought to the U.S. The businesses that could and should be recruiting and hiring workers here in the U.S. at decent wages are shunning them to hire more exploitable, more desperate foreigners. The law and regulations that govern guestworker programs, most notably the H-2B non-immigrant visa program, are ignored or circumvented, leaving U.S. workers jobless while people from thousands of miles away do jobs the local workers are able and willing to do.

The law and regulations forbid the admission of any H-2B guestworker to the U.S. unless the employer attests that U.S workers capable of performing the job are not available and that the employment of foreign workers will not adversely affect the wages and working conditions of similarly employed U.S. workers. The Department of Labor and the various State Workforce Agencies are charged with verifying that the jobs of U.S. workers are protected, but they have failed to do so.

In 2009 and 2010, Sen. Jeff Merkley (D-OR) and Rep. Peter DeFazio (D-OR) learned that millions of dollars of Recovery Act funds were being used to hire foreign H-2B guestworkers to cut and process trees in Oregon while thousands of Oregon’s local forest workers were unemployed and looking for jobs. Both taxpayers and local workers were taken advantage of by unscrupulous employers who didn’t care at all that the vital purpose of the Recovery Act was to put Americans back to work.

The Office of Inspector General investigated the recruitment and hiring practices of the forestry companies involved and found that they turned away more than 100 U.S. workers before hiring a workforce made up entirely of H-2Bs (who, it should be noted, could be paid less-than the average wage for a comparable U.S. worker). The companies reported hiring 29 U.S. workers, but never did, while concocting a laundry list of reasons for refusing the others. The OIG concluded that the DOL and state agencies were unable to protect U.S. workers.

New DOL H-2B regulations that would have better protected the interests of the local workforce have been blocked by Congress and are tied up in federal court, so the scandal of replacing U.S. workers with H-2B guestworkers continues. But Sen. Merkley is trying to do something about it.

The Senate Gang of 8 has decided to open the floodgates to temporary foreign workers, expanding the H-2B program, tripling the size of the H-1B skilled worker program, and creating another low-skilled visa that will admit three times as many guestworkers as the current H-2B visa.

Sen. Merkley has introduced an amendment to the immigration reform bill that will require genuine recruitment of local workers before guestworkers are admitted to take local forestry jobs. His amendment requires DOL to verify that the companies are giving U.S. workers a fair chance and requires state agencies to sign off before foreign workers are hired.

These rules should be applied to every U.S. industry that uses the H-2B program, but we should applaud Sen. Merkley’s efforts to ensure that at least in one part of the United States, in one industry, the rule of law will be that U.S. workers have a fair opportunity to find good jobs before they are given away to temporary foreign workers.

And in a related and recent article from the Huffington Post about American worker's rights and wages: How the GOP Hopes to Take Away Americans' Right to Collective Bargaining - "Unless workers have the right to bargain as a group over wages and working conditions, employers have every incentive to hire workers who will work for the lowest possible wage in the worst possible conditions. And in a globalized economy with literally billions of increasingly skilled workers in developing countries, there is always someone who is willing to do the same job for less."

Read this comprehensive report by the Southern Poverty Law Center on guestworkers in the U.S. on work visas...

Guestworker Programs are Legalized Slavery


George Zimmerman gets away with Murder

If I walked in to an old run-down biker bar on the wrong side of town, and it was dark and raining and very late on a Friday night --- and then I looked around for the biggest, meanest and drunkest looking bad-ass biker in the bar --- and then I walked right up to him and got right into his face --- and then I scowled at him and told him that I thought his mother was nothing but a big fat ugly skanky whore --- and if the biker took offense, and then took a swing at me, would I have the legal right to pull out my concealed pistol and shoot the biker in the heart, killing him instantly --- and then later claim, it was self defense, that I had feared for my life, and that I was just innocently minding my own business and "standing my ground"?

In Florida you can.

If I were a 17-year-old teenager walking home from the corner store in my own neighborhood, and it was dark and raining, and some stranger was stalking me from behind --- would I have a right to feel consternation and fear? Would I have a right to the ground I was standing on? Or would I deserve to die with a bullet through my heart, killing me instantly, because a wannabe cop and neighborhood watchman thought I fit the profile of a burglar?

In Florida I would die like a dog, with a pack of Skittles in one hand and an iced tea in the other.

If George Zimmerman didn't have a loaded gun, would he have still been bolstered by heroic bravery and had gotten out of his car and followed Trayvon Martin as he was walking home; or would George Zimmerman have feared the threatening, evil and menacing figure of Trayvon Martin --- or instead, would George Zimmerman have reasonably kept a safe distance away, and cautiously observed Trayvon Martin from afar --- or better yet, just safely stayed in his car until the police arrived a few short minutes later?

There's no need to retreat or hide in Florida, where you can legally hunt human prey. The law is on your side, especially if the prey is black. It's open season in Florida.

For some reason, George Zimmerman felt an urgent urge to act, and to act quickly, as though he feared that other people were in immediate and imminent danger of grievous bodily harm. George Zimmerman could have just as easily shouted out to Trayvon Martin from a distance, "Hey you! I'm watching you!" --- and then just quickly retreated back to his car, to safely wait for the police to arrive --- or George Zimmerman could have just driven away. But he didn't. George Zimmerman had to act, and he had to act fast!

How can someone from a distance of 50 yards away (in the dark and rain) observe someone and think that they were on drugs --- or that they looked suspicious? And even so, wouldn't that have been the job of the police to investigate, and if need be, to apprehend, and if need be, to shoot and kill in self defense? Who made George Zimmerman judge, jury and executioner?  If George had been an older black man with a hoody and Trayvon had been a white teenager, would the jury's verdict have been much different?

In Florida it most likely would.

The police told George Zimmerman not to follow Trayvon Martin, but George Zimmerman took it upon himself to "act" rather than to "watch" --- as a self-appointed neighborhood watch-man. Why? Was George Zimmerman just looking for an excuse to use his gun, and maybe be the neighborhood hero? Was he curious as to what it was like to kill someone? Was he auditioning for a job at the police department?

George Zimmerman obviously didn't show any remorse afterwards, and he even told Sean Hannity that he would do it all over again. How could the jury at least NOT convict him for reckless endangerment or involuntary manslaughter? (Or just for being a dangerous and reckless asshole). George Zimmerman essentially got a free pass from "a jury of his peers" for second degree murder. I wonder how he'll profit from this in the future. Will he write a book?

But I will bet you that even with his loaded gun, George Zimmerman would never have had the balls to walk into a biker bar alone on a dark and rainy Friday night, because he is just a contemptible low-life slug and a coward --- but George Zimmerman will eventually pay the ultimate price for murder --- even if it was a victory for the NRA and Fox News --- and the killing happened in the "Sunshine State" of Florida.

At exactly the same time of the gun shot, the screaming stopped. But if George Zimmerman had any conscience at all, he will hear Trayvon Martin's scream every day for the rest of his life.

Dancing with Robots: Technology Skills of the Future

Manufacturing and other jobs in the U.S. will continue to be offshored to low-wage countries. In our new economy, the future of middle-class work will have to rely on uniquely human brain strength. The next generation of students will need to learn the foundational skills in problem-solving and communication --- skills that computers don’t have.

Well before the Great Recession, middle class Americans questioned the ability of the public sector to adapt to the wrenching forces re-shaping society. And as we’ve begun to see a “new economic normal,” many Americans are left wondering if anyone or any institution can help them, making it imperative that both political parties re-think their 20th century orthodoxies.

How do we ensure American middle class prosperity and individual success in an era of ever-intensifying globalization and technological upheaval? It’s the defining question of our time and one that, as a country, we’ve yet to answer.

In Dancing with Robots Frank Levy and Richard Murnane make a compelling case that the hollowing out of middle class jobs in America has as much to do with the technology revolution and computerization of tasks as with global pressures like China. In so doing, they predict what the future of work will be in America and what it will take for the middle class to succeed. The collapse of the once substantial middle class job picture has begun a robust debate among those who argue that it has its roots in policy, versus those who argue that it has its roots in structural changes in the economy.

Levy and Murnane delve deeply into structural economic changes brought about by technology. These two pioneers in the field argue that the human labor market will center on three kinds of work: 1) solving unstructured problems, 2) working with new information, and 3) carrying out non-routine manual tasks.

The bulk of the rest of the work will be done by computers with some work reserved for low wage workers abroad. They argue that the future success of the middle class rests on the nation’s ability to sharply increase the fraction of American children with the foundational skills needed to develop job-relevant knowledge and to learn efficiently over a lifetime.

As for the state of our schools, Levy and Murnane point out something quite profound, “American schools are not worse than they were in a previous generation. Indeed, the evidence is to the contrary. Today’s education problem stems from the increased complexity of foundational skills needed in today’s economy.”

With the constant upgrades in computer speed and capacity, Levy and Murnane point out that computers will ultimately perform nearly all tasks for which "logical rules or a statistical model lay out a path to a solution, including complicated tasks that have been simplified by imposing structure."

They posit that the future of middle class work will necessarily have to rely on uniquely human brain strengths: “flexibility—the ability to process and integrate many kinds of information to perform a complex task, [such as] solving problems for which standard operating procedures do not currently exist, and working with new information—acquiring it, making sense of it, communicating it to others.”

For sure, over the past decade we have lost millions of manufacturing jobs to China. But we have probably reached the end of that story as Chinese wages continue to rise. Yet we have lost the airline ticket salesperson to a kiosk; the check-out clerk to the scanner, and the factory floor worker to the machine. Each year, computers simply get better, faster, and more powerful.

Meanwhile, both political parties profess an undying commitment to the middle class. But is either party proposing anything remotely close to preparing the current and next generation for solid work in the midst of technological change?

In order to prepare young people to do the jobs computers cannot do we must re-focus our education system around one objective: giving students the foundational skills in problem-solving and communication that computers don’t have.

As the authors of Dancing with Robots illustrate, these skills are not just the skills of professionals with advanced degrees. What computers have done is to make even traditional blue collar jobs like auto-mechanic—dependent upon one’s ability to problem solve and to communicate. These insights are critical to thinking creatively about the challenge of job creation in the 21st century.